イスラエル、コッズ部隊の司令官殺害と発表。プーチン大統領「ウクライナ全土が我々のもの」国際会議で侵略の意図を明確に。米国から日本へ防衛費をGDP比3.5%要求などを解説

イスラエル、コッズ部隊の司令官殺害と発表。プーチン大統領「ウクライナ全土が我々のもの」国際会議で侵略の意図を明確に。米国から日本へ防衛費をGDP比3.5%要求などを解説

Hello everyone. I’m Kaoru Kamikawa. Today, I’ll be covering security news around the world. This time, I’ll be covering topics that are happening in various places , including Iran, Israel, Russia, and Japan . Currently, wars are becoming commonplace, with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the intensification of fighting between Israel and Iran . Japan is not currently fighting with either country, but that doesn’t mean that it will continue to do so in the future. Rather, if we consider that fighting is becoming commonplace, we need to recognize that it would no longer be surprising if a war were to suddenly break out one day in the future . Security-related news brings up many topics that we need to think about, so please use the videos on this channel to organize and update your information. The first topic we’ll be covering today is the fighting between Iran and Israel, as reported by Reuters . Israel announces the killing of the Quds Force commander. The Israeli Ministry of Defense announced that it had killed the commander of the Quds Force, which is responsible for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard’s overseas operations. It said the attack took place at an apartment in Qom, Iran. In a statement, Katz said the assassin was veteran commander Saeed Izadi, who led the Palestinian unit of the Quds Force . The Quds Force built a network of Arab alliances known as the “Axis of Resistance.” In 1982, it was involved in the creation of the Lebaran militia Hezbollah and supported the Palestinian Islamic organization Hamas in the Gaza Strip. However, it has suffered major blows in the past two years. Since Hamas attacked Israel in October 2023, Israeli offensives have weakened Hezbollah and others. In the battle between Iran and Israel, the clash of military forces is the most noticeable thing, so many people will pay attention to that. In fact, there are many points to note there. There is a lot of information that is clearly visible, such as the difference in air power and how Iran will intercept the ballistic missiles it uses in its attacks, so many people will pay attention to that. At the same time, we must not forget the activities of intelligence agencies. In particular, the activities of Mossad, the Israeli intelligence agency, have achieved incredible results at a level never heard of in recent years. The Israeli side has launched successive waves of attacks following a preemptive attack, and has killed Iran’s leading military personnel and scientists one after another. As for the method of killing, they exchanged information with their home country, such as where discussions were taking place at key military facilities, what time they were gathering, and in the case of scientists, where their homes were and what time of day they were at home , and then killed key military personnel with air strikes from fighter jets, and for scientists, Mossad’s separate units killed them on site when they returned home . They have shown a somewhat extraordinary level of activity , such as collecting and analyzing information, and carrying out sabotage operations within the enemy country . Some people may not be very surprised by the activities of such intelligence units, as Mossad has long been highly regarded . However, the importance of intelligence agencies should be appreciated more and more. For example, in terms of military power, when comparing the United States and Israel, the United States has overwhelmingly superior military power. The United States has carried out air strikes on the Houthis many times. However, they carried out air strikes on the Houthis without really knowing where the key figures or main weapons of the Houthis were . As a result, the Trump administration’s attacks on the Houthis have not been very successful. On the other hand, in terms of military power alone, Israel is inferior to the United States, but so far, in its attacks on Iran, it has succeeded in killing military leaders and scientists one after another. This clearly means that intelligence gathering and military power are very closely linked, and it can be said to be an example of maximizing the results of military power. Incidentally, the fact that Israel is very good at collecting information means that many operatives have infiltrated the Iranian side. It is by no means one or two people, and it is certainly not a temporary financial relationship. Perhaps there are people who have been working for 10 or 20 years, receiving money from the Israeli side . Otherwise, the heads of various military departments would not be able to share with the Israeli Air Force in real time where they are, how they are moving, where they are having meetings, whether they are there or not . Of course, intelligence agencies may develop informants over such a long time frame, and may also be active in buying temporary information. By the way, Iran’s corruption index ranking is not much different from Russia’s 151st place and 154th place. From the perspective of most of the world, the level of corruption of officials is quite high, and if you give a bribe, you can get a lot of information. However, there is a risk that the information obtained by giving money temporarily will lead to the detection of Mossad’s operations at some point in the future, so basically they will prioritize building a relationship with the intelligence agency and obtaining information continuously. In today’s era where war is becoming commonplace, it can be said that the importance of intelligence agencies is even greater. It is also very important to have personnel to gather information so that the enemy country can launch sabotage operations, and to have an intelligence agency to find and expose such activities and strengthen defenses . Next, what is the current situation regarding Iran’s nuclear weapons development? Israel says that nuclear weapons development is progressing in Iran and that it is important to stop this. Meanwhile, in the United States, opinions are somewhat divided. Trump, Director of National Intelligence is “wrong” President Trump claimed that Gabbar and the Director of National Intelligence, who presented intelligence analyses denying Iran’s nuclear weapons production, were wrong. Trump said, “Iran will become a nuclear weapons state within a few weeks or months,” but did not provide specific evidence. Although he said that he would make a decision about attacking Iran within two weeks, there are concerns that it will be a “repeat” of the 2003 Iraq War, which was started based on false information . In 2003, the United States claimed that the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq was hiding weapons of mass destruction, and invaded and overthrew the regime. However, no evidence of weapons of mass destruction was found after the war. When asked about the difference between the proposed attack on Iran and the past Iraq war, Trump emphasized, “I did not believe Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, so I was clearly opposed from the beginning.” On the other hand, he claimed that Iran was “gathering a significant amount of nuclear material” necessary for nuclear weapons production. Regarding the suspicion of Iran’s nuclear weapons development, Director of National Intelligence Gabbert, who oversees intelligence agencies such as the CIA, pointed out at a Senate hearing that “Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium is at an all-time high, which is unprecedented for a non-nuclear weapon state.” On the other hand, he testified that “intelligence agencies have determined that Iran is not building nuclear weapons . Supreme Leader Khamenei has not approved the resumption of the nuclear weapons program that was frozen in 2003.” After Trump’s remarks, Gabbert posted, “The United States has intelligence that Iran is in a position to build a nuclear weapon within weeks to months if it decides to finalize the assembly,” in line with Trump. If an attack is launched without sufficient evidence that Iran is close to possessing nuclear weapons and retaliation is invited, it could become a repeat of the Iraq War, where the situation became bogged down. When asked about the possibility of sending in ground troops if an attack on Iran was carried out, Trump only replied, “I’m not talking about ground troops, it’s a last resort.” And the IAEA has said something similar. No evidence of Iran developing nuclear weapons. Regarding the Iranian nuclear development issue, IAEA Director General Grossi said , “We had no evidence of a systematic effort by Iran to develop nuclear weapons.” Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu claimed that if Iran had not stopped its nuclear development, “Iran could have made a nuclear weapon in a short period of time.” This is true for both the United States and Israel, but Iran does not currently have nuclear weapons, and in terms of whether it has started developing nuclear weapons, it is analyzed that in either case, it is not moving forward to make nuclear weapons right now . On the other hand, the theory that “if things continue like this, they will have nuclear weapons, so let’s strike them now” is widely accepted. This is a little different from the claim made during the Iraq War that Iraq was hiding weapons of mass destruction. We know that Iraq does not have nuclear weapons, but it has the ability to develop them, so as long as it has the ability, it is suspicious and there is nothing wrong with attacking it. The Trump administration in the United States is trying to provide very strong support to Israel more than any previous American administration, and the reality is that no country has the power to stop it as long as the United States is backing it . Moreover, if Iran were to acquire nuclear weapons , all countries would agree that they should not have them, in the sense of opposing it, so we cannot completely deny the idea that even if they do not have them now, they would be attacked if they had the ability to do so. No matter what we say, it is difficult to reach a consensus on the part of this discussion that “the lack of legitimacy does not fit in.” Therefore, from the Japanese perspective, it is important to think that the current international situation is based on the idea that no matter what the reason for a war, it is not surprising. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine began when, at least, the permanent members of the UN Security Council took the initiative in breaking international law and using military force to invade other countries, and we were unable to stop it. What is spreading from there is that, although the principles of international law are important, in terms of whether or not to abide by it, countries that abide by it are now at an overwhelming disadvantage, and we are moving towards a situation where those who use military force can achieve their wishes. For Japan, it is necessary to recognize that we are moving towards a very uncomfortable era . Next, we will look at President Putin’s remarks that reveal his ambition to invade. President Putin presents his opinion at an international conference, saying that “the whole of Ukraine is ours.” President Putin spoke at an international conference, stating that Russians and Ukrainians are one ethnic group, and in that sense, the whole of Ukraine is ours. According to Russian media, in a speech at the International Economic Forum, Putin said, “We are not asking for surrender. We should just accept reality.” He called on Ukraine to accept Russia’s peace conditions, such as the complete withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the four states that Russia unilaterally declared annexation and the neutralization of Ukraine. He also stated that “Russians and Ukrainians are one people,” and stated his opinion that “in that sense, the whole of Ukraine is ours. ” He also said, “We have an ancient rule. Wherever Russian soldiers set foot, it is our territory,” and is prepared to further expand the occupied area and put pressure on Ukraine. He also denied the use of military pressure from European countries , which was one of the pretexts for invading Ukraine . AFP. Putin says NATO rearmament is not a “threat” to Russia. President Putin said that NATO’s push to increase defense spending is not a “threat” to Russia. NATO is scheduled to hold a key summit in The Hague next week to discuss increasing defense spending to 5% of GDP. Putin has positioned the offensive in Ukraine as part of a broader conflict between the US-led NATO and Russia. “I do not consider any rearmament of NATO a threat to the Russian Federation, because we are self-sufficient in ensuring our own security,” he said. He added that Russia is “constantly modernizing its military and defense capabilities,” and that it “does not make sense” for NATO to spend more money on weapons. Putin said that things like NATO expansion put a lot of pressure on Russia and threaten its security . He warned Ukraine, which serves as a buffer zone for this, not to join NATO, and made clear his ambition to “make it our own territory.” Those who defend Russia say absurd things like “Russia has no ambitions. Ukraine is a neo-Nazi regime.” But President Putin basically thinks that Ukraine is theirs, and that it is unacceptable that theirs is heading toward Europe. So it is clear that there is no particular reason for Russia to invade Ukraine. However, in reality, a permanent member of the UN Security Council is invading another country and trying to carve out more and more of its territory , and there is no doubt that the current international law has lost all its power. In this situation, the Trump administration in the United States has put forward a major policy of “protect your own country” as its own country first, and is calling on allies and friendly countries to significantly increase their defense spending. Following Europe, it seems that this notification has also reached Japan. The United States informally sounded out a 3.5% increase in Japan’s defense spending to GDP. The 2+2 agreement was postponed. It has been revealed that the US government has informally sounded out to the Japanese government to raise Japan’s defense spending by setting a specific numerical target of 3.5% of GDP. In response to the US sounding out, the Japanese side expressed caution about holding the foreign and defense ministers’ meeting (2+2) in Washington, which had been scheduled for July 1, and the meeting was postponed. According to multiple Japanese government officials, the decision to postpone the meeting was largely due to the political situation with the Upper House election, which was announced on July 3, looming. A Defense Ministry official said, “Tariff negotiations are not going well, and if we are asked about increasing defense spending, holding the 2+2 meeting will only be a negative for the Ishiba administration.” Regarding increasing Japan’s defense spending, the Japanese government has set a policy of increasing defense spending to 2% of GDP (approximately 11 trillion yen) in fiscal 2027, but no numerical target has been decided beyond that. The Japanese government has not denied the possibility of raising the defense budget to over 2% after fiscal 2015, but it has taken the stance that “Japan’s defense budget is decided by Japan,” and does not want to appear to raise defense spending under pressure from the U.S. Regarding Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, military support from Europe will continue in the future. This will allow Ukraine to hold out to some extent in the future. However, support from the United States is no longer expected. The Trump administration has consistently denied military support for Ukraine, and it can be said that it is no longer even considering additional sanctions against Russia. On the other hand, since there are politically powerful Jewish people and political forces such as Christian evangelicals that have a significant number of members among the American people , the United States is not at all reluctant to provide military support to Israel. This can also be said to be the result of the Trump administration’s America First policy. While they are completely indifferent to preventing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, they support the situation in Israel, which is directly linked to their interests, with the entire nation. On the other hand, what about Japan? At least in the past, when the United States was afraid of the expansion of the so-called communist bloc, such as the Soviet Union and China, Japan played the role of a breakwater in the Far East region and was a frontline base for the United States that should never be let go. However, it is unclear to what extent the current President Trump sees Japan’s strategic value. For this reason , it is gradually becoming doubtful whether the current Japan-US alliance system is effective. Currently, Japan’s defense spending is 1.8% of GDP. The goal is to gradually increase it and reach 2%. In this situation, it was at least expected that the United States would demand a specific figure such as 3.5% and to increase defense spending even more . This was discussed in advance with European countries, and European countries are gradually reaching a political agreement to steadily increase defense spending under a rearmament plan. By the way, regarding defense spending, President Trump is calling for a budget that allows each country to protect itself , with 3.5% being pure defense spending and 1.5% being combined with defense-related infrastructure development, for a total of 5% . Considering that the budget related to the Self-Defense Forces is 1.8% of GDP, this would be more than double the level, and it would be a bit difficult to meet this right away. However, considering the past and future international situations, I think that it is no longer possible to avoid the discussion of increasing defense spending. Therefore, we should continue to discuss specific methods and means, such as where and what money should be spent, and how to raise the money . For example, regarding the intelligence agencies mentioned in the intensification of fighting between Iran and Israel, in order to prevent sabotage from being carried out in Japan, we need to create a full-fledged intelligence agency in Japan, and we need to develop an anti-espionage law as a basis for espionage activities to prevent such espionage activities . In addition, as in Operation Spidernet carried out by Ukraine, small drone attacks after entering the enemy country are expected, so it is necessary to set up a strong reinforcement force. In addition, various money is needed to increase defense spending and develop related infrastructure, such as improving underground facilities in preparation for missile attacks and building shelters for citizens to evacuate, and it is becoming increasingly important to discuss what to spend it on and what is important . Although it is difficult to immediately accept the Trump administration’s request to double Japan’s defense spending, it is important to understand from the current international situation that the necessity of this cannot be denied . Please feel free to comment on what you thought after listening to this talk . That’s all for today’s video. If you found this video useful in organizing your information, please recommend this channel to others and consider using Super Chat. See you in the next video. Bye 👋

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
動画にしていないニュースへの言及はこちらで
神河が征く　Xアカウント　https://x.com/KK_NewsNetwork
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
支援メンバー募集中
下記のページから登録できます
https://www.youtube.com/c/godriver/join
金額の違いは、支援内容の差ではありません
私の活動を支えたい気持ちや、あなたの資産状況によって選択してください
通常動画の更新からさき、なかなかメンバー向け活動が出来ていません

【メンバー募集への思い】
日本を良くしていく方法は様々あります
私の場合は、時事ニュースを通じて私の考えを示して
たくさんの人に、今何が起きているかを知ってもらい
より良い日本を作るためにはどうしたらいいだろうと考え行動する
そうした人を増やしていくことで、日本そのものに良い影響を与えようとしています
この活動を継続的に応援してくれる人を募集しています
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
当チャンネルの日本語字幕はボランティアの方が作成しています。
その後、多言語に機械翻訳を行っています。
カオリンの部屋さんに感謝です。
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
過去の作成動画一覧　

過去の作成動画
アメリカ軍のイラン攻撃。作戦計画は承認を受け準備が進む。ただし、実施するかはトランプ大統領の決断で

イランに無条件降伏望むトランプ大統領。ハメネイ師は地下に潜伏し反撃宣言

空軍力で圧倒されるイラン。次々と破壊される基地、兵器。反撃も激減。

イラン指導部・ロシアへの亡命ルート確保か。ロシアは受け入れ承認

ロシア空軍基地は今日も大爆発・炎上

作戦名「クモの巣・蜘蛛の巣」5分近い攻撃映像をウクライナが公開

ウクライナ軍の攻撃成功は戦史に残るレベル。空軍基地への同時多発攻撃

ウクライナ軍の歴史的大戦果!?同時多発攻撃が露軍の空軍基地4つを焼いた

　
#神河が征く　#ニュース　
#イスラエル 　#ロシア #国際情勢　#イラン